Bracketology

KenPom Bracketology

Legend
3+ Overseeded
2 Overseeded
Within 1 seed
2 Underseeded
3+ Underseeded
Why was 11 seed Washington favored over 3 seed New Mexico in 2010? What impact does 'mis-seeding' have on the Tournament? Looking at the brackets through the lens of advance computer ratings such as KenPom reveals insights about the Committee and where to spot more probable 'upsets.'

Here we use a subjective methodology to give teams what their 'KenPom seed' might be, then spot how far it varies from their given seed. Rather than splitting all teams into strict groups of 4 for a seed line, we created more liberal parameters for the seed lines: e.g. a 10 'KenPom seed' is given to any team ranked between 114 and 165. Stated differently, the #4, #5, or #6 KenPom-ranked team is around '1-seed quality' and the #100 team is around '14-seed quality.' The cells below are color-coded to indicate how overseeded or underseeded a team is.
Seed Min Max Avg
1 1 6 4
2 7 12 9
3 13 16 15
4 17 19 17
5 20 24 21
6 25 29 27
7 30 32 32
8 33 35 32
9 36 39 38
10 40 44 41
11 45 49 48
12 50 61 50
13 62 80 72
14 81 113 89
15 114 165 138
16 166 350 193

East

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Duke ACC 2 1 0
16 Robert Morris NEC 216 16 0
16 Norfolk St. MEAC 267 16 0
8 Wisconsin B10 22 5 -3
9 Florida SEC 25 6 -3
5 Wichita St. Amer 41 10 5
12 Rutgers B10 24 5 -7
12 Utah St. MWC 70 13 1
4 Dayton A10 5 1 -3
13 Stephen F. Austin Slnd 120 15 2
6 Memphis Amer 38 9 3
11 LSU SEC 34 8 -3
3 West Virginia B12 6 1 -2
14 Stony Brook AE 127 15 1
7 Creighton BE 39 9 2
10 Stanford P12 33 8 -2
2 Michigan St. B10 8 2 0
15 Murray St. OVC 140 15 0

West

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Gonzaga WCC 3 1 0
16 Montana BSky 151 15 -1
8 Xavier BE 58 12 4
9 Houston Amer 23 5 -4
5 Arizona P12 14 3 -2
12 Louisiana Tech CUSA 63 13 1
4 Michigan B10 20 5 1
13 Loyola Chicago MVC 90 14 1
6 Kentucky SEC 21 5 -1
11 Oklahoma B12 46 11 0
3 Oregon P12 18 4 1
14 UC Irvine BW 109 14 0
7 Iowa B10 15 3 -4
10 VCU A10 48 11 1
2 Baylor B12 4 1 -1
15 Little Rock SB 133 15 0

Midwest

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Butler BE 11 2 1
16 UMKC WAC 256 16 0
16 Prairie View A&M SWAC 193 16 0
8 Colorado P12 30 7 -1
9 BYU WCC 29 6 -3
5 Penn St. B10 28 6 1
12 Akron MAC 65 13 1
4 Louisville ACC 7 2 -2
13 Wright St. Horz 121 15 2
6 Marquette BE 32 7 1
11 N.C. State ACC 43 10 -1
11 Washington P12 45 11 0
3 Ohio St. B10 13 3 0
14 Colgate Pat 128 15 1
7 Virginia ACC 49 11 4
10 Indiana B10 40 10 0
2 Auburn SEC 26 6 4
15 Winthrop BSth 126 15 0

South

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Kansas B12 1 1 0
16 Princeton Ivy 191 16 0
8 Arkansas SEC 31 7 -1
9 Saint Mary's WCC 37 9 0
5 Villanova BE 27 6 1
12 Furman SC 82 14 2
4 Florida St. ACC 16 3 -1
13 Charleston CAA 137 15 2
6 Seton Hall BE 10 2 -4
11 Liberty ASun 54 12 1
3 Maryland B10 12 2 -1
14 Rider MAAC 189 16 2
7 Texas Tech B12 19 4 -3
10 Purdue B10 17 4 -6
2 San Diego St. MWC 9 2 0
15 North Dakota St. Sum 142 15 0


Loading...