Bracketology

KenPom Bracketology

Legend
3+ Overseeded
2 Overseeded
Within 1 seed
2 Underseeded
3+ Underseeded
Why was 11 seed Washington favored over 3 seed New Mexico in 2010? What impact does 'mis-seeding' have on the Tournament? Looking at the brackets through the lens of advance computer ratings such as KenPom reveals insights about the Committee and where to spot more probable 'upsets.'

Here we use a subjective methodology to give teams what their 'KenPom seed' might be, then spot how far it varies from their given seed. Rather than splitting all teams into strict groups of 4 for a seed line, we created more liberal parameters for the seed lines: e.g. a 10 'KenPom seed' is given to any team ranked between 114 and 165. Stated differently, the #4, #5, or #6 KenPom-ranked team is around '1-seed quality' and the #100 team is around '14-seed quality.' The cells below are color-coded to indicate how overseeded or underseeded a team is.
Seed Min Max Avg
1 1 6 4
2 7 12 9
3 13 16 15
4 17 19 17
5 20 24 21
6 25 29 27
7 30 32 32
8 33 35 32
9 36 39 38
10 40 44 41
11 45 49 48
12 50 61 50
13 62 80 72
14 81 113 89
15 114 165 138
16 166 350 193

East

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Duke ACC 2 1 0
16 North Carolina Central MEAC 326 16 0
16 North Dakota St. Sum 165 15 -1
8 VCU A10 40 10 2
9 UCF Amer 102 14 5
5 Mississippi St. SEC 55 12 7
12 Liberty ASun 71 13 1
4 Virginia Tech ACC 61 12 8
13 Saint Louis A10 101 14 1
6 Maryland B10 9 2 -4
11 Belmont OVC 80 13 2
11 Temple Amer 63 13 2
3 LSU SEC 28 6 3
14 Yale Ivy 85 14 0
7 Louisville ACC 3 1 -6
10 Minnesota B10 77 13 3
2 Michigan St. B10 4 1 -1
15 Bradley MVC 121 15 0

West

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Gonzaga WCC 8 2 1
16 Prairie View A&M SWAC 266 16 0
16 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 272 16 0
8 Syracuse ACC 52 12 4
9 Baylor B12 13 3 -6
5 Marquette BE 25 6 1
12 Murray St. OVC 132 15 3
4 Florida St. ACC 15 3 -1
13 Vermont AE 81 14 1
6 Buffalo MAC 105 14 8
11 St. John's BE 98 14 3
11 Arizona St. P12 67 13 2
3 Texas Tech B12 22 5 2
14 Northern Kentucky Horz 113 14 0
7 Nevada MWC 95 14 7
10 Florida SEC 36 9 -1
2 Michigan B10 12 2 0
15 Montana BSky 187 16 1

Midwest

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 North Carolina ACC 24 5 4
16 Iona MAAC 196 16 0
8 Utah St. MWC 48 11 3
9 Washington P12 50 12 3
5 Auburn SEC 16 3 -2
12 New Mexico St. WAC 103 14 2
4 Kansas B12 5 1 -3
13 Northeastern CAA 138 15 2
6 Iowa St. B12 33 8 2
11 Ohio St. B10 1 1 -10
3 Houston Amer 26 6 3
14 Georgia St. SB 124 15 1
7 Wofford SC 137 15 8
10 Seton Hall BE 17 4 -6
2 Kentucky SEC 7 2 0
15 Abilene Christian Slnd 282 16 1

South

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Virginia ACC 10 2 1
16 Gardner Webb BSth 194 16 0
8 Mississippi SEC 70 13 5
9 Oklahoma B12 41 10 1
5 Wisconsin B10 49 11 6
12 Oregon P12 14 3 -9
4 Kansas St. B12 84 14 10
13 UC Irvine BW 114 15 2
6 Villanova BE 20 5 -1
11 Saint Mary's WCC 46 11 0
3 Purdue B10 6 1 -2
14 Old Dominion CUSA 183 16 2
7 Cincinnati Amer 51 12 5
10 Iowa B10 30 7 -3
2 Tennessee SEC 21 5 3
15 Colgate Pat 135 15 0


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