Bracketology

KenPom Bracketology

Legend
3+ Overseeded
2 Overseeded
Within 1 seed
2 Underseeded
3+ Underseeded
Why was 11 seed Washington favored over 3 seed New Mexico in 2010? What impact does 'mis-seeding' have on the Tournament? Looking at the brackets through the lens of advance computer ratings such as KenPom reveals insights about the Committee and where to spot more probable 'upsets.'

Here we use a subjective methodology to give teams what their 'KenPom seed' might be, then spot how far it varies from their given seed. Rather than splitting all teams into strict groups of 4 for a seed line, we created more liberal parameters for the seed lines: e.g. a 10 'KenPom seed' is given to any team ranked between 114 and 165. Stated differently, the #4, #5, or #6 KenPom-ranked team is around '1-seed quality' and the #100 team is around '14-seed quality.' The cells below are color-coded to indicate how overseeded or underseeded a team is.
Seed Min Max Avg
1 1 6 4
2 7 12 9
3 13 16 15
4 17 19 17
5 20 24 21
6 25 29 27
7 30 32 32
8 33 35 32
9 36 39 38
10 40 44 41
11 45 49 48
12 50 61 50
13 62 80 72
14 81 113 89
15 114 165 138
16 166 350 193

East

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Connecticut BE 13 3 2
16 Colgate PL 204 16 0
8 Auburn SEC 26 6 -2
9 SMU ACC 37 9 0
5 Tennessee SEC 20 5 0
12 William & Mary CAA 130 15 3
4 Kansas B12 14 3 -1
13 Illinois St. MVC 84 14 1
6 Arkansas SEC 22 5 -1
11 Ohio St. B10 40 10 -1
11 Miami FL ACC 38 9 -2
3 Michigan St. B10 7 2 -1
14 Quinnipiac MAAC 181 16 2
7 St. John's BE 21 5 -2
10 LSU SEC 51 12 2
2 Duke ACC 3 1 -1
15 Vermont AE 209 16 1

West

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Arizona B12 1 1 0
16 LIU NEC 219 16 0
8 Saint Mary's WCC 36 9 1
9 UCLA B10 39 9 0
5 Florida SEC 8 2 -3
12 Akron MAC 53 12 0
4 Nebraska B10 11 2 -2
13 Liberty CUSA 92 14 1
6 USC B10 47 11 5
11 Tulsa Amer 57 12 1
3 Illinois B10 4 1 -2
14 Northern Colorado BSky 187 16 2
7 Utah St. MWC 30 7 0
10 Baylor B12 52 12 2
2 Gonzaga WCC 10 2 0
15 Furman SC 166 16 1

Midwest

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Michigan B10 2 1 0
16 Lindenwood OVC 242 16 0
16 Howard MEAC 272 16 0
8 Georgia SEC 34 8 0
9 UCF B12 45 11 2
5 Texas Tech B12 18 4 -1
12 Utah Valley WAC 106 14 2
4 North Carolina ACC 28 6 2
13 Arkansas St. SB 159 15 2
6 Iowa B10 23 5 -1
11 Butler BE 60 12 1
11 Oklahoma SEC 61 12 1
3 Houston B12 6 1 -2
14 Lipscomb ASun 150 15 1
7 Villanova BE 27 6 -1
10 N.C. State ACC 24 5 -5
2 Vanderbilt SEC 12 2 0
15 St. Thomas Sum 127 15 0

South

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Iowa St. B12 5 1 0
16 Milwaukee Horz 246 16 0
16 Grambling St. SWAC 279 16 0
8 Clemson ACC 29 6 -2
9 Seton Hall BE 49 11 2
5 Louisville ACC 19 4 -1
12 Yale Ivy 70 13 1
4 Alabama SEC 17 4 0
13 High Point BSth 94 14 1
6 Virginia ACC 16 3 -3
11 Indiana B10 31 7 -4
3 BYU B12 15 3 0
14 Hawaii BW 91 14 0
7 Kentucky SEC 32 7 0
10 Saint Louis A10 25 6 -4
2 Purdue B10 9 2 0
15 Stephen F. Austin Slnd 99 14 -1
Loading...