Bracketology

KenPom Bracketology

Legend
3+ Overseeded
2 Overseeded
Within 1 seed
2 Underseeded
3+ Underseeded
Why was 11 seed Washington favored over 3 seed New Mexico in 2010? What impact does 'mis-seeding' have on the Tournament? Looking at the brackets through the lens of advance computer ratings such as KenPom reveals insights about the Committee and where to spot more probable 'upsets.'

Here we use a subjective methodology to give teams what their 'KenPom seed' might be, then spot how far it varies from their given seed. Rather than splitting all teams into strict groups of 4 for a seed line, we created more liberal parameters for the seed lines: e.g. a 10 'KenPom seed' is given to any team ranked between 114 and 165. Stated differently, the #4, #5, or #6 KenPom-ranked team is around '1-seed quality' and the #100 team is around '14-seed quality.' The cells below are color-coded to indicate how overseeded or underseeded a team is.
Seed Min Max Avg
1 1 6 4
2 7 12 9
3 13 16 15
4 17 19 17
5 20 24 21
6 25 29 27
7 30 32 32
8 33 35 32
9 36 39 38
10 40 44 41
11 45 49 48
12 50 61 50
13 62 80 72
14 81 113 89
15 114 165 138
16 166 350 193

East

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Gonzaga WCC 1 1 0
16 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 260 16 0
16 Texas Southern SWAC 220 16 0
8 Richmond A10 52 12 4
9 LSU SEC 38 9 0
5 Ohio St. B10 13 3 -2
12 Loyola Chicago MVC 54 12 0
4 Texas B12 4 1 -3
13 Vermont AE 90 14 1
6 Florida SEC 30 7 1
11 Syracuse ACC 47 11 0
11 Maryland B10 37 9 -2
3 West Virginia B12 8 2 -1
14 Murray St. OVC 110 14 0
7 UCLA P12 39 9 2
10 Memphis Amer 48 11 1
2 Iowa B10 12 2 0
15 Akron MAC 143 15 0

West

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Baylor B12 2 1 0
16 Colgate Pat 145 15 -1
16 Norfolk St. MEAC 234 16 0
8 Indiana B10 17 4 -4
9 Virginia Tech ACC 21 5 -4
5 Florida St. ACC 18 4 -1
12 Arkansas SEC 51 12 0
12 BYU WCC 88 14 2
4 Creighton BE 16 3 -1
13 New Mexico St. WAC 104 14 1
6 North Carolina ACC 15 3 -3
11 Oklahoma B12 32 7 -4
3 Illinois B10 24 5 2
14 Wright St. Horz 113 14 0
7 Rutgers B10 31 7 0
10 Connecticut BE 53 12 2
2 Houston Amer 11 2 0
15 UC Irvine BW 150 15 0

Midwest

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Villanova BE 3 1 0
16 Eastern Washington BSky 142 15 -1
8 Stanford P12 35 8 0
9 Clemson ACC 27 6 -3
5 Texas Tech B12 9 2 -3
12 UNC Greensboro SC 98 14 2
4 Tennessee SEC 19 4 0
13 South Dakota St. Sum 81 14 1
6 Louisville ACC 22 5 -1
11 Marquette BE 34 8 -3
3 Michigan St. B10 10 2 -1
14 Winthrop BSth 126 15 1
7 Michigan B10 23 5 -2
10 Seton Hall BE 58 12 2
2 Kansas B12 5 1 -1
15 Stephen F. Austin Slnd 151 15 0

South

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Duke ACC 6 1 0
16 Hofstra CAA 148 15 -1
8 Saint Louis A10 40 10 2
9 Alabama SEC 49 11 2
5 Oregon P12 26 6 1
12 Western Kentucky CUSA 74 13 1
4 Kentucky SEC 20 5 1
13 Georgia St. SB 116 15 2
6 Arizona St. P12 28 6 0
11 Purdue B10 25 6 -5
3 Virginia ACC 14 3 0
14 Liberty ASun 124 15 1
7 San Diego St. MWC 33 8 1
10 Providence BE 64 13 3
2 Wisconsin B10 7 2 0
15 Siena MAAC 137 15 0


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