Bracketology

KenPom Bracketology

Legend
3+ Overseeded
2 Overseeded
Within 1 seed
2 Underseeded
3+ Underseeded
Why was 11 seed Washington favored over 3 seed New Mexico in 2010? What impact does 'mis-seeding' have on the Tournament? Looking at the brackets through the lens of advance computer ratings such as KenPom reveals insights about the Committee and where to spot more probable 'upsets.'

Here we use a subjective methodology to give teams what their 'KenPom seed' might be, then spot how far it varies from their given seed. Rather than splitting all teams into strict groups of 4 for a seed line, we created more liberal parameters for the seed lines: e.g. a 10 'KenPom seed' is given to any team ranked between 114 and 165. Stated differently, the #4, #5, or #6 KenPom-ranked team is around '1-seed quality' and the #100 team is around '14-seed quality.' The cells below are color-coded to indicate how overseeded or underseeded a team is.
Seed Min Max Avg
1 1 6 4
2 7 12 9
3 13 16 15
4 17 19 17
5 20 24 21
6 25 29 27
7 30 32 32
8 33 35 32
9 36 39 38
10 40 44 41
11 45 49 48
12 50 61 50
13 62 80 72
14 81 113 89
15 114 165 138
16 166 350 193

East

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Duke ACC 1 1 0
16 Bucknell Pat 147 15 -1
8 Texas B12 27 6 -2
9 Ohio St. B10 38 9 0
5 Kansas St. B12 29 6 1
12 Hofstra CAA 72 13 1
4 LSU SEC 21 5 1
13 Murray St. OVC 54 12 -1
6 Iowa B10 25 6 0
11 VCU A10 45 11 0
3 Marquette BE 26 6 3
14 Old Dominion CUSA 105 14 0
7 Washington P12 39 9 2
10 Clemson ACC 31 7 -3
2 Michigan B10 6 1 -1
15 Montana BSky 124 15 0

West

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Gonzaga WCC 3 1 0
16 Monmouth MAAC 298 16 0
16 Prairie View A&M SWAC 235 16 0
8 Mississippi SEC 34 8 0
9 North Carolina St. ACC 35 8 -1
5 Villanova BE 22 5 0
12 New Mexico St. WAC 59 12 0
4 Iowa St. B12 12 2 -2
13 Vermont AE 70 13 0
6 Florida St. ACC 20 5 -1
11 Seton Hall BE 57 12 1
3 Houston Amer 18 4 1
14 UC Irvine BW 106 14 0
7 Buffalo MAC 24 5 -2
10 Alabama SEC 56 12 2
2 Michigan St. B10 4 1 -1
15 Loyola Chicago MVC 125 15 0

Midwest

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Virginia ACC 2 1 0
16 St. Francis PA NEC 250 16 0
16 Norfolk St. MEAC 251 16 0
8 Baylor B12 37 9 1
9 Auburn SEC 16 3 -6
5 Louisville ACC 14 3 -2
12 Minnesota B10 46 11 -1
4 Nevada MWC 17 4 0
13 Indiana B10 47 11 -2
13 Oklahoma B12 36 9 -4
6 Maryland B10 19 4 -2
11 Lipscomb ASun 40 10 -1
3 Kansas B12 15 3 0
14 South Dakota St. Sum 82 14 0
7 Cincinnati Amer 32 7 0
10 Wofford SC 28 6 -4
2 Kentucky SEC 5 1 -1
15 Texas St. SB 97 14 -1

South

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Tennessee SEC 7 2 1
16 Sam Houston St. Slnd 162 15 -1
8 Syracuse ACC 43 10 2
9 TCU B12 42 10 1
5 Wisconsin B10 11 2 -3
12 Temple Amer 75 13 1
12 Arizona St. P12 62 13 1
4 Texas Tech B12 9 2 -2
13 Yale Ivy 76 13 0
6 Virginia Tech ACC 13 3 -3
11 UCF Amer 49 11 0
3 Purdue B10 10 2 -1
14 Northern Kentucky Horz 89 14 0
7 Mississippi St. SEC 23 5 -2
10 St. John's BE 50 12 2
2 North Carolina ACC 8 2 0
15 Radford BSth 120 15 0


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