Bracketology

KenPom Bracketology

Legend
3+ Overseeded
2 Overseeded
Within 1 seed
2 Underseeded
3+ Underseeded
Why was 11 seed Washington favored over 3 seed New Mexico in 2010? What impact does 'mis-seeding' have on the Tournament? Looking at the brackets through the lens of advance computer ratings such as KenPom reveals insights about the Committee and where to spot more probable 'upsets.'

Here we use a subjective methodology to give teams what their 'KenPom seed' might be, then spot how far it varies from their given seed. Rather than splitting all teams into strict groups of 4 for a seed line, we created more liberal parameters for the seed lines: e.g. a 10 'KenPom seed' is given to any team ranked between 114 and 165. Stated differently, the #4, #5, or #6 KenPom-ranked team is around '1-seed quality' and the #100 team is around '14-seed quality.' The cells below are color-coded to indicate how overseeded or underseeded a team is.
Seed Min Max Avg
1 1 6 4
2 7 12 9
3 13 16 15
4 17 19 17
5 20 24 21
6 25 29 27
7 30 32 32
8 33 35 32
9 36 39 38
10 40 44 41
11 45 49 48
12 50 61 50
13 62 80 72
14 81 113 89
15 114 165 138
16 166 350 193

East

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Villanova BE 2 1 0
16 Mount St. Mary's NEC 209 16 0
16 New Orleans Slnd 178 16 0
8 Wisconsin B10 21 5 -3
9 Virginia Tech ACC 50 12 3
5 Virginia ACC 12 2 -3
12 UNC Wilmington CAA 59 12 0
4 Florida SEC 5 1 -3
13 East Tennessee St. SC 67 13 0
6 SMU Amer 11 2 -4
11 USC P12 53 12 1
11 Providence BE 60 12 1
3 Baylor B12 13 3 0
14 New Mexico St. WAC 84 14 0
7 South Carolina SEC 25 6 -1
10 Marquette BE 32 7 -3
2 Duke ACC 14 3 1
15 Troy SB 137 15 0

West

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Gonzaga WCC 1 1 0
16 South Dakota St. Sum 185 16 0
8 Northwestern B10 38 9 1
9 Vanderbilt SEC 33 8 -1
5 Notre Dame ACC 27 6 1
12 Princeton Ivy 57 12 0
4 West Virginia B12 7 2 -2
13 Bucknell Pat 76 13 0
6 Maryland B10 46 11 5
11 Xavier BE 31 7 -4
3 Florida St. ACC 26 6 3
14 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 108 14 0
7 Saint Mary's WCC 15 3 -4
10 VCU A10 48 11 1
2 Arizona P12 18 4 2
15 North Dakota BSky 168 16 1

Midwest

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Kansas B12 6 1 0
16 UC Davis BW 218 16 0
16 North Carolina Central MEAC 161 15 -1
8 Miami FL ACC 42 10 2
9 Michigan St. B10 40 10 1
5 Iowa St. B12 17 4 -1
12 Nevada MWC 55 12 0
4 Purdue B10 19 4 0
13 Vermont AE 63 13 0
6 Creighton BE 28 6 0
11 Rhode Island A10 34 8 -3
3 Oregon P12 10 2 -1
14 Iona MAAC 117 15 1
7 Michigan B10 20 5 -2
10 Oklahoma St. B12 22 5 -5
2 Louisville ACC 9 2 0
15 Jacksonville St. OVC 157 15 0

South

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 North Carolina ACC 3 1 0
16 Texas Southern SWAC 212 16 0
8 Arkansas SEC 35 8 0
9 Seton Hall BE 51 12 3
5 Minnesota B10 37 9 4
12 Middle Tennessee CUSA 43 10 -2
4 Butler BE 24 5 1
13 Winthrop BSth 113 14 1
6 Cincinnati Amer 23 5 -1
11 Wake Forest ACC 36 9 -2
11 Kansas St. B12 30 7 -4
3 UCLA P12 16 3 0
14 Kent St. MAC 141 15 1
7 Dayton A10 39 9 2
10 Wichita St. MVC 8 2 -8
2 Kentucky SEC 4 1 -1
15 Northern Kentucky Horz 138 15 0


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