Bracketology

KenPom Bracketology

Legend
3+ Overseeded
2 Overseeded
Within 1 seed
2 Underseeded
3+ Underseeded
Why was 11 seed Washington favored over 3 seed New Mexico in 2010? What impact does 'mis-seeding' have on the Tournament? Looking at the brackets through the lens of advance computer ratings such as KenPom reveals insights about the Committee and where to spot more probable 'upsets.'

Here we use a subjective methodology to give teams what their 'KenPom seed' might be, then spot how far it varies from their given seed. Rather than splitting all teams into strict groups of 4 for a seed line, we created more liberal parameters for the seed lines: e.g. a 10 'KenPom seed' is given to any team ranked between 114 and 165. Stated differently, the #4, #5, or #6 KenPom-ranked team is around '1-seed quality' and the #100 team is around '14-seed quality.' The cells below are color-coded to indicate how overseeded or underseeded a team is.
Seed Min Max Avg
1 1 6 4
2 7 12 9
3 13 16 15
4 17 19 17
5 20 24 21
6 25 29 27
7 30 32 32
8 33 35 32
9 36 39 38
10 40 44 41
11 45 49 48
12 50 61 50
13 62 80 72
14 81 113 89
15 114 165 138
16 166 350 193

East

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Villanova BE 1 1 0
16 North Carolina Central MEAC 287 16 0
16 Stephen F. Austin Slnd 146 15 -1
8 Arkansas SEC 29 6 -2
9 Rhode Island A10 47 11 2
5 Cincinnati Amer 13 3 -2
12 Vermont AE 71 13 1
4 Notre Dame ACC 18 4 0
13 Bucknell Pat 96 14 1
6 Minnesota B10 41 10 4
11 Saint Mary's WCC 33 8 -3
11 Clemson ACC 32 7 -4
3 Virginia ACC 3 1 -2
14 Northern Kentucky Horz 88 14 0
7 TCU B12 20 5 -2
10 UCLA P12 46 11 1
2 Texas A&M SEC 5 1 -1
15 UNC Asheville BSth 128 15 0

West

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Kansas B12 7 2 1
16 UC Santa Barbara BW 143 15 -1
8 Nevada MWC 37 9 1
9 Oklahoma B12 27 6 -3
5 Arizona P12 19 4 -1
12 Loyola Chicago MVC 74 13 1
4 Gonzaga WCC 10 2 -2
13 New Mexico St. WAC 97 14 1
6 Florida St. ACC 25 6 0
11 Temple Amer 45 11 0
3 Xavier BE 12 2 -1
14 College of Charleston CAA 106 14 0
7 Tennessee SEC 22 5 -2
10 Maryland B10 38 9 -1
2 North Carolina ACC 9 2 0
15 Yale Ivy 131 15 0

Midwest

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Michigan St. B10 2 1 0
16 St. Francis PA NEC 188 16 0
16 Texas Southern SWAC 214 16 0
8 Texas Tech B12 17 4 -4
9 SMU Amer 23 5 -4
5 Arizona St. P12 34 8 3
12 Virginia Tech ACC 28 6 -6
4 Florida SEC 21 5 1
13 Ball St. MAC 115 15 2
6 Baylor B12 24 5 -1
11 UT Arlington SB 90 14 3
3 Miami FL ACC 15 3 0
14 South Dakota St. Sum 105 14 0
7 USC P12 30 7 0
10 Providence BE 55 12 2
2 Wichita St. Amer 4 1 -1
15 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 111 14 -1

South

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Duke ACC 6 1 0
16 Idaho BSky 149 15 -1
8 Texas B12 31 7 -1
9 Alabama SEC 39 9 0
5 Seton Hall BE 16 3 -2
12 Middle Tennessee CUSA 66 13 1
4 Purdue B10 8 2 -2
13 Belmont OVC 124 15 2
6 Louisville ACC 26 6 0
11 Michigan B10 36 9 -2
11 Missouri SEC 51 12 1
3 West Virginia B12 11 2 -1
14 Mercer SC 93 14 0
7 Creighton BE 35 8 1
10 Syracuse ACC 57 12 2
2 Kentucky SEC 14 3 1
15 Iona MAAC 133 15 0


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