Bracketology

KenPom Bracketology

Legend
3+ Overseeded
2 Overseeded
Within 1 seed
2 Underseeded
3+ Underseeded
Why was 11 seed Washington favored over 3 seed New Mexico in 2010? What impact does 'mis-seeding' have on the Tournament? Looking at the brackets through the lens of advance computer ratings such as KenPom reveals insights about the Committee and where to spot more probable 'upsets.'

Here we use a subjective methodology to give teams what their 'KenPom seed' might be, then spot how far it varies from their given seed. Rather than splitting all teams into strict groups of 4 for a seed line, we created more liberal parameters for the seed lines: e.g. a 10 'KenPom seed' is given to any team ranked between 114 and 165. Stated differently, the #4, #5, or #6 KenPom-ranked team is around '1-seed quality' and the #100 team is around '14-seed quality.' The cells below are color-coded to indicate how overseeded or underseeded a team is.
Seed Min Max Avg
1 1 6 4
2 7 12 9
3 13 16 15
4 17 19 17
5 20 24 21
6 25 29 27
7 30 32 32
8 33 35 32
9 36 39 38
10 40 44 41
11 45 49 48
12 50 61 50
13 62 80 72
14 81 113 89
15 114 165 138
16 166 350 193

East

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Villanova BE 2 1 0
16 Southern SWAC 323 16 0
16 Wagner NEC 162 15 -1
8 Saint Mary's WCC 20 5 -3
9 Arkansas SEC 38 9 0
5 Clemson ACC 18 4 -1
12 Loyola Chicago MVC 47 11 -1
4 Tennessee SEC 15 3 -1
13 Buffalo MAC 83 14 1
6 Arizona St. P12 37 9 3
11 North Carolina St. ACC 49 11 0
3 Texas Tech B12 11 2 -1
14 Rider MAAC 130 15 1
7 Missouri SEC 44 10 3
10 Providence BE 72 13 3
2 Duke ACC 3 1 -1
15 Winthrop BSth 152 15 0

West

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Kansas B12 9 2 1
16 Harvard Ivy 164 15 -1
8 Creighton BE 30 7 -1
9 Texas A&M SEC 32 7 -2
5 Rhode Island A10 28 6 1
12 New Mexico St. WAC 58 12 0
4 Arizona P12 24 5 1
13 South Dakota St. Sum 78 13 0
6 Butler BE 22 5 -1
11 Baylor B12 36 9 -2
3 North Carolina ACC 7 2 -1
14 College of Charleston CAA 117 15 1
7 Houston Amer 25 6 -1
10 Oklahoma B12 40 10 0
2 Michigan St. B10 4 1 -1
15 UC Santa Barbara BW 114 15 0

Midwest

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Xavier BE 13 3 2
16 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 121 15 -1
8 Miami FL ACC 39 9 1
9 TCU B12 21 5 -4
5 Kentucky SEC 23 5 0
12 USC P12 41 10 -2
12 Syracuse ACC 51 12 0
4 Gonzaga WCC 8 2 -2
13 East Tennessee St. SC 93 14 1
6 Florida St. ACC 26 6 0
11 Middle Tennessee CUSA 43 10 -1
3 Wichita St. Amer 17 4 1
14 Belmont OVC 81 14 0
7 Florida SEC 27 6 -1
10 Kansas St. B12 48 11 1
2 Purdue B10 6 1 -1
15 Montana BSky 77 13 -2

South

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Virginia ACC 1 1 0
16 Nicholls St. Slnd 167 16 0
16 Savannah St. MEAC 320 16 0
8 Alabama SEC 46 11 3
9 Seton Hall BE 33 8 -1
5 Ohio St. B10 14 3 -2
12 Louisiana Lafayette SB 56 12 0
4 West Virginia B12 12 2 -2
13 Vermont AE 63 13 0
6 Michigan B10 16 3 -3
11 Louisville ACC 34 8 -3
11 St. Bonaventure A10 67 13 2
3 Cincinnati Amer 5 1 -2
14 Bucknell Pat 107 14 0
7 Nevada MWC 19 4 -3
10 Virginia Tech ACC 35 8 -2
2 Auburn SEC 10 2 0
15 Wright St. Horz 154 15 0


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