Bracketology

KenPom Bracketology

Legend
3+ Overseeded
2 Overseeded
Within 1 seed
2 Underseeded
3+ Underseeded
Why was 11 seed Washington favored over 3 seed New Mexico in 2010? What impact does 'mis-seeding' have on the Tournament? Looking at the brackets through the lens of advance computer ratings such as KenPom reveals insights about the Committee and where to spot more probable 'upsets.'

Here we use a subjective methodology to give teams what their 'KenPom seed' might be, then spot how far it varies from their given seed. Rather than splitting all teams into strict groups of 4 for a seed line, we created more liberal parameters for the seed lines: e.g. a 10 'KenPom seed' is given to any team ranked between 114 and 165. Stated differently, the #4, #5, or #6 KenPom-ranked team is around '1-seed quality' and the #100 team is around '14-seed quality.' The cells below are color-coded to indicate how overseeded or underseeded a team is.
Seed Min Max Avg
1 1 6 4
2 7 12 9
3 13 16 15
4 17 19 17
5 20 24 21
6 25 29 27
7 30 32 32
8 33 35 32
9 36 39 38
10 40 44 41
11 45 49 48
12 50 61 50
13 62 80 72
14 81 113 89
15 114 165 138
16 166 350 193

East

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Virginia ACC 1 1 0
16 Detroit Horz 205 16 0
8 Mississippi SEC 30 7 -1
9 UCF Amer 39 9 0
5 Marquette BE 35 8 3
12 Dayton A10 71 13 1
4 Maryland B10 19 4 0
13 UC Irvine BW 91 14 1
6 North Carolina St. ACC 23 5 -1
11 Texas B12 29 6 -5
11 Florida SEC 24 5 -6
3 Nevada MWC 13 3 0
14 Valparaiso MVC 168 16 2
7 Louisville ACC 25 6 -1
10 Minnesota B10 54 12 2
2 Kansas B12 10 2 0
15 Rider MAAC 150 15 0

West

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Duke ACC 2 1 0
16 Wagner NEC 218 16 0
8 Ohio St. B10 28 6 -2
9 LSU SEC 38 9 0
5 Nebraska B10 11 2 -3
12 Murray St. OVC 50 12 0
4 Kentucky SEC 15 3 -1
13 Georgia St. SB 109 14 1
6 Florida St. ACC 26 6 0
11 Wofford SC 40 10 -1
3 Oklahoma B12 20 5 2
14 Boise St. MWC 115 15 1
7 Indiana B10 32 7 0
10 Washington P12 43 10 0
2 Gonzaga WCC 4 1 -1
15 Northern Colorado BSky 200 16 1

Midwest

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Tennessee SEC 5 1 0
16 UMKC WAC 237 16 0
16 Prairie View A&M SWAC 269 16 0
8 Iowa B10 34 8 0
9 Cincinnati Amer 31 7 -2
5 Villanova BE 21 5 0
12 Hofstra CAA 83 14 2
4 Buffalo MAC 18 4 0
13 Vermont AE 73 13 0
6 Wisconsin B10 14 3 -3
11 Arizona P12 49 11 0
3 North Carolina ACC 9 2 -1
14 Winthrop BSth 136 15 1
7 Iowa St. B12 17 4 -3
10 St. John's BE 51 12 2
2 Michigan St. B10 3 1 -1
15 Bucknell Pat 145 15 0

South

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Michigan B10 6 1 0
16 Sam Houston St. Slnd 235 16 0
16 Norfolk St. MEAC 280 16 0
8 TCU B12 22 5 -3
9 Seton Hall BE 48 11 2
5 Houston Amer 33 8 3
12 Lipscomb ASun 55 12 0
4 Auburn SEC 12 2 -2
13 South Dakota St. Sum 77 13 0
6 Purdue B10 16 3 -3
11 Temple Amer 72 13 2
11 Kansas St. B12 52 12 1
3 Virginia Tech ACC 7 2 -1
14 Princeton Ivy 164 15 1
7 Mississippi St. SEC 27 6 -1
10 Syracuse ACC 36 9 -1
2 Texas Tech B12 8 2 0
15 UTSA CUSA 162 15 0


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