Bracketology

KenPom Bracketology

Legend
3+ Overseeded
2 Overseeded
Within 1 seed
2 Underseeded
3+ Underseeded
Why was 11 seed Washington favored over 3 seed New Mexico in 2010? What impact does 'mis-seeding' have on the Tournament? Looking at the brackets through the lens of advance computer ratings such as KenPom reveals insights about the Committee and where to spot more probable 'upsets.'

Here we use a subjective methodology to give teams what their 'KenPom seed' might be, then spot how far it varies from their given seed. Rather than splitting all teams into strict groups of 4 for a seed line, we created more liberal parameters for the seed lines: e.g. a 10 'KenPom seed' is given to any team ranked between 114 and 165. Stated differently, the #4, #5, or #6 KenPom-ranked team is around '1-seed quality' and the #100 team is around '14-seed quality.' The cells below are color-coded to indicate how overseeded or underseeded a team is.
Seed Min Max Avg
1 1 6 4
2 7 12 9
3 13 16 15
4 17 19 17
5 20 24 21
6 25 29 27
7 30 32 32
8 33 35 32
9 36 39 38
10 40 44 41
11 45 49 48
12 50 61 50
13 62 80 72
14 81 113 89
15 114 165 138
16 166 350 193

East

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Villanova BE 1 1 0
16 Radford BSth 170 16 0
16 LIU Brooklyn NEC 259 16 0
8 Virginia Tech ACC 34 8 0
9 Alabama SEC 57 12 3
5 West Virginia B12 12 2 -3
12 Murray St. OVC 62 13 1
4 Wichita St. Amer 20 5 1
13 Marshall CUSA 106 14 1
6 Florida SEC 21 5 -1
11 UCLA P12 55 12 1
11 St. Bonaventure A10 68 13 2
3 Texas Tech B12 11 2 -1
14 Stephen F. Austin Slnd 112 14 0
7 Arkansas SEC 43 10 3
10 Butler BE 22 5 -5
2 Purdue B10 5 1 -1
15 Cal St. Fullerton BW 162 15 0

West

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Xavier BE 15 3 2
16 North Carolina Central MEAC 316 16 0
16 Texas Southern SWAC 243 16 0
8 Missouri SEC 42 10 2
9 Florida St. ACC 27 6 -3
5 Ohio St. B10 16 3 -2
12 South Dakota St. Sum 75 13 1
4 Gonzaga WCC 10 2 -2
13 UNC Greensboro SC 82 14 1
6 Houston Amer 18 4 -2
11 San Diego St. MWC 50 12 1
3 Michigan B10 7 2 -1
14 Montana BSky 72 13 -1
7 Texas A&M SEC 29 6 -1
10 Providence BE 64 13 3
2 North Carolina ACC 9 2 0
15 Lipscomb ASun 167 16 1

Midwest

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Kansas B12 8 2 1
16 Penn Ivy 125 15 -1
8 Seton Hall BE 26 6 -2
9 North Carolina St. ACC 46 11 2
5 Clemson ACC 14 3 -2
12 New Mexico St. WAC 61 12 0
4 Auburn SEC 23 5 1
13 College of Charleston CAA 115 15 2
6 TCU B12 24 5 -1
11 Arizona St. P12 49 11 0
11 Syracuse ACC 41 10 -1
3 Michigan St. B10 6 1 -2
14 Bucknell Pat 96 14 0
7 Rhode Island A10 52 12 5
10 Oklahoma B12 48 11 1
2 Duke ACC 3 1 -1
15 Iona MAAC 138 15 0

South

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed
1 Virginia ACC 2 1 0
16 UMBC AE 166 16 0
8 Creighton BE 31 7 -1
9 Kansas St. B12 40 10 1
5 Kentucky SEC 17 4 -1
12 Davidson A10 44 10 -2
4 Arizona P12 28 6 2
13 Buffalo MAC 67 13 0
6 Miami FL ACC 37 9 3
11 Loyola Chicago MVC 30 7 -4
3 Tennessee SEC 13 3 0
14 Wright St. Horz 134 15 1
7 Nevada MWC 25 6 -1
10 Texas B12 36 9 -1
2 Cincinnati Amer 4 1 -1
15 Georgia St. SB 100 14 -1


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