Bracketology

KenPom Bracketology

Legend
3+ Overseeded
2 Overseeded
Within 1 seed
2 Underseeded
3+ Underseeded
Why was 11 seed Washington favored over 3 seed New Mexico in 2010? What impact does 'mis-seeding' have on the Tournament? Looking at the brackets through the lens of advance computer ratings such as KenPom reveals insights about the Committee and where to spot more probable 'upsets.'

Here we use a subjective methodology to give teams what their 'KenPom seed' might be, then spot how far it varies from their given seed. Rather than splitting all teams into strict groups of 4 for a seed line, we created more liberal parameters for the seed lines: e.g. a 10 'KenPom seed' is given to any team ranked between 114 and 165. Stated differently, the #4, #5, or #6 KenPom-ranked team is around '1-seed quality' and the #100 team is around '14-seed quality.' The cells below are color-coded to indicate how overseeded or underseeded a team is.
Seed Min Max Avg
1 1 6 4
2 7 12 9
3 13 16 15
4 17 19 17
5 20 24 21
6 25 29 27
7 30 32 32
8 33 35 32
9 36 39 38
10 40 44 41
11 45 49 48
12 50 61 50
13 62 80 72
14 81 113 89
15 114 165 138
16 166 350 193

East

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Duke ACC 2 1 0
16 Robert Morris NEC 214 16 0
16 Norfolk St. MEAC 271 16 0
8 Wisconsin B10 20 5 -3
9 Florida SEC 26 6 -3
5 Wichita St. Amer 38 9 4
12 Rutgers B10 25 6 -6
12 Utah St. MWC 65 13 1
4 Dayton A10 5 1 -3
13 Stephen F. Austin Slnd 120 15 2
6 Memphis Amer 39 9 3
11 LSU SEC 34 8 -3
3 West Virginia B12 6 1 -2
14 Stony Brook AE 127 15 1
7 Creighton BE 40 10 3
10 Stanford P12 35 8 -2
2 Michigan St. B10 8 2 0
15 Murray St. OVC 140 15 0

West

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Gonzaga WCC 3 1 0
16 Montana BSky 152 15 -1
8 Xavier BE 59 12 4
9 Houston Amer 23 5 -4
5 Arizona P12 13 3 -2
12 Louisiana Tech CUSA 66 13 1
4 Michigan B10 18 4 0
13 Loyola Chicago MVC 90 14 1
6 Kentucky SEC 21 5 -1
11 Oklahoma B12 46 11 0
3 Oregon P12 17 4 1
14 UC Irvine BW 108 14 0
7 Iowa B10 14 3 -4
10 VCU A10 48 11 1
2 Baylor B12 4 1 -1
15 Little Rock SB 132 15 0

Midwest

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Butler BE 15 3 2
16 UMKC WAC 256 16 0
16 Prairie View A&M SWAC 193 16 0
8 Colorado P12 31 7 -1
9 BYU WCC 29 6 -3
5 Penn St. B10 30 7 2
12 Akron MAC 58 12 0
4 Louisville ACC 7 2 -2
13 Wright St. Horz 122 15 2
6 Marquette BE 32 7 1
11 N.C. State ACC 43 10 -1
11 Washington P12 45 11 0
3 Ohio St. B10 12 2 -1
14 Colgate Pat 128 15 1
7 Virginia ACC 50 12 5
10 Indiana B10 41 10 0
2 Auburn SEC 28 6 4
15 Winthrop BSth 126 15 0

South

Seed Team Conf KP Rank KP Seed ∆
1 Kansas B12 1 1 0
16 Princeton Ivy 191 16 0
8 Arkansas SEC 33 8 0
9 Saint Mary's WCC 36 9 0
5 Villanova BE 19 4 -1
12 Furman SC 81 14 2
4 Florida St. ACC 16 3 -1
13 Charleston CAA 136 15 2
6 Seton Hall BE 11 2 -4
11 Liberty ASun 55 12 1
3 Maryland B10 10 2 -1
14 Rider MAAC 190 16 2
7 Texas Tech B12 24 5 -2
10 Purdue B10 27 6 -4
2 San Diego St. MWC 9 2 0
15 North Dakota St. Sum 142 15 0


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